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Featured Articles
Back to the Future: Latin America’s Current Development Strategy
Esteban Pérez Caldentey and Matías Vernengo
Empirical evidence suggests that the good economic performance of Latin America in the last 6 years (including 2007-8) is increasingly and strongly correlated either with a positive terms-of-trade shock, mostly in South America, or with the increase in the flow of remittances, particularly in Central and North America. In other words, Latin America now exports commodities and people. The paper shows the possible limitations of this development strategy.
 
Global Liquidity and Financial Flows to Developing Countries: New Trends in Emerging Markets and their Implications
C.P. Chandrasekhar
This paper attempts to examine the factors responsible for the recent revival and surge in capital flows into developing countries and the qualitative changes in financial integration that are accompanying this surge. The paper also looks at the impact that this surge is having on financial volatility and vulnerability, macroeconomic management and growth, in countries that have been “successful” in attracting such flows.
 
Featured Themes
The Global Food Crisis: The Inevitable End to a Tale of Neglect?

In spite of some downturn in food prices, it seems that the global food crisis is here to stay. FAO projections for 2008-2017 show much higher decadal prices for food than the decade just past. This puts under threat the poor in developing countries and make the millennium goals that much more unattainable. While supply and demand mismatches may turn out to be short run factors, the sheer price volatility in food markets show that the role of speculation cannot be ignored. The emergence of biofuels also poses a threat to global food security. However, the long run policy neglect of agriculture in developing countries and a warped policy approach to liberalise trade at whatever cost to domestic food sufficiency remain the basic crux of the matter.

 
Focus
The 'Old' and the 'New': Development Economics and the Current Global Conjuncture
5 new books for academics, campaigners and policy makers
IDEAs showcases five books edited by Jomo K.S. along with Ben Fine and Erik. S. Reinert; three published by Tulika Books, New Delhi and Zed Books, London, that attempt to rediscover and reinterpret the significance of ‘Development Economics’ as well as two more published by Oxford University Press, New Delhi, on the process of globalization and its outcomes in terms of increasing economic diversity. This is part of IDEAs’ attempt to draw critical attention to these overwhelmingly important issues of yesterday, today and tomorrow.
 
IDEAs Working Paper Series
IDEAs Working Papers
 

Endogenous Money in the Age of Financial Liberalizationt
Gökçer Özgür &  Korkut A. Ertürk

                                           IDEAs Working Paper no. 05/2008

Using Minsky's Cushions of Safety to Analyse the Crisis in the U.S. Subprime Mortgage Market
Jan Kregal

                                           IDEAs Working Paper no. 04/2008

Alternatives
Bank of the South & ALBA: Regional Integration within
the South as an Alternative to the North based Global Hegemony?
  • South Bank: 90 Days of Silence
    Gabriel Strautman
       
    The initiative aimed at the creation of a South American multilateral financial institution or the South Bank as part of an effort to building a new regional financial architecture has run into trouble as consensus on the role of the new institution was never reached among South Bank member countries. The focal points of conflict are related to the composition of capital and the decision-making system of the new institution, which at the same time will be crucial to decide on the Bank's finance goals – maybe the main reason for disagreement among partners.
       
  • South Bank: A People's Perspective of Integration

    This article on the new initiative from South America, the Bank of the South, articulates the position of ‘Jubilee South' on this issue. It describes the nature of the South Bank, its goals, functioning and finally, its importance in the context of providing an alternative platform for south based economic development that is democratic, participatory, and economically, socially, and environmentally just.
 
IDEAs Activities
 
Documents & Statistics
The IMF's Policy Support Instrument:Expanded Fiscal Space or Continued Belt-Tightening?
Action Aid Policy Brief, October, 2007
This Action Aid Policy Brief discusses whether, after two and a half years of 'the Policy Support Instrument (PSI)', there is any evidence that the IMF has used its signaling power to support the 'mature stabilisers' to move from perpetual belt-tightening to long term development and growth. The paper reviews all five PSI agreements that have so far been signed and looked in detail at two of them, in Uganda and Mozambique.
 
News Analysis
The Commodity Price Roller Coaster
Jayati Ghosh

Despite arguments regarding the role of 'fundamentals' in generating the recent price rises in oil and in other commodities especially food, the sheer volatility in these prices over the recent past indicates the clear role of speculative forces in commodity markets which have grown stronger in the wake of the financial crisis in the US and have been looking for options to make profit elsewhere.

Back to Economic Growth Basics
Jayati Ghosh

Discussions about economic growth and how to generate it are back in fashion among economists, unfortunately in a period of impending stagflation. However, interesting is the fact how growth prescriptions, even from mainstream quarters, seem to acknowledge the failure of the conservative policies.

WTO: One More Failure
C. P. Chandrasekhar

The collapse of the talks of the Doha Round on 29th July, 2008 is no big deal since along the long route of the Doha round, periodic failure of negotiations is inevitable. This is not a disaster for advocates of trade liberalisation either because, in most countries, actual levels of protection are much lower than the bound levels WTO talks about. The point to note is that the so-called progress in trade liberalisation notwithstanding, the fundamental asymmetry of the world trading system remains.

The Coup D’ Etat
Prabhat Patnaik

The Indo-US nuclear deal is not an isolated issue, but a part of a larger process of attempts at changing the character of the Indian State to a neo-liberal State integrated with US imperialism. Given the objective economic conditions leading to further shrinkage of the already miniscule political constituency in favour of "reforms", such a change in the character of the Indian State can be effected only through a coup d'etat as was witnessed on July 22.

The Global Oil Price Story
Jayati Ghosh

The straightforward explanations based on real demand and supply are simply not useful in understanding the current oil price hike. Rather, the price for this very physical commodity, this universal intermediate, is now determined in the virtual world. In other words, speculative forces, operating especially through the commodity futures markets, are driving the current oil price surge.

NAMA: Developed Countries as the Donors?
Malini Chakravarty

Texts related to the Non Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) in the ongoing Doha Round of WTO negotiations, right from the time of its inception, have been biased against the developing country members. This article traces the development in the various NAMA texts and tries to bring out the factors that have come to form the core of the contention between the developed and the developing countries.

Global GDP Growth: A Longer View
Jayati Ghosh &
C. P. Chandrasekhar.

Discussions of GDP growth at both national and international levels often get carried away by relatively recent trends, but it is important to situate recent income growth in the longer term context. In this article the authors examine the evidence on GDP global and regional growth in the second half of the twentieth century and beyond.

 
  © International Development
Economics Associates 2008
 

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